THE TOP FOUR
Sandringham:
Rd 16 BYE
Rd 17 v Coburg (City Oval)
Rd 18 v Werribee (Chirnside Pk)
Rd 19 v Port Melb (TBO)
Rd 20 v Nthn Bullants (Cramer St)
Three away games but they should win a couple of those. Very big game against Port.
Port Melb:
Rd 16 BYE
Rd 17 v Nth Ballarat (TEAC)
Rd 18 v Tasmania (TEAC)
Rd 19 v Sandringham (TBO)
Rd 20 v Geelong (TEAC)
Three games at home but they do play sides currently placed 1st, 3rd, 4th and 5th.
Tasmania:
Rd 16 v Coburg (York Park)
Rd 17 v Williamstown (Gellibrand)
Rd 18 v Port Melb (TEAC)
Rd 19 v Frankston (?)
Rd 20 v Bendigo (QEO)
Have a game up their sleeve compared to Sandy and Port, but are two wins plus percentage off them both. Travel to Victoria 3 times.
Nth Ballarat:
Rd 16 v Geelong (skilled)
Rd 17 v Port Melb (TEAC)
Rd 18 v Springvale (Northern Oval)
Rd 19 v Northern Bullants (Cramer ST)
Rd 20 BYE
The only of the top four sides to play currrent bottom side Springvale - but is their only remaining game at home. Probably can't finish higher than 3rd.
Geelong:
Rd 16 v Nth Ballarat (Skilled)
Rd 17 BYE
Rd 18 Bendigo (Skilled)
Rd 19 Box Hill (Skilled)
Rd 20 v Port Melb (TEAC)
Three games at Skilled is handy, have only lost one there so far this year.
Werribee:
Rd 16 v Bendigo (QEO)
Rd 17 v Springvale (Shepley)
Rd 18 v Sandringham (Chirnside Pk)
Rd 19 v Williamstown (Gellibrand)
Rd 20 v Coburg (City Oval)
Only play one side currently above them on the ladder and with decent percentage could get into the top four - especially with no bye left. Have lost a few games recently though.
Coburg:
Rd 16 v Tasmania (York Pk)
Rd 17 v Sandringham (City Oval)
Rd 18 v Nthn Bullants (City Oval)
Rd 19 v Bendigo (Windy Hill)
Rd 20 v Werribee (City Oval)
The next two games could be tough but the last three aren't as bad. Good run of home games but poor percentage hurts them.
I'll let everyone else decide who will sneak in - currently Box Hill, Bullants, Bendigo and Williamstown are two games off Coburg in 7th, but Willy and Bullants have played an extra game already so only have four games to go.
Who do people think the big movers will be? Who will sneak in and who will miss out?
Looking at that.. Werribee have a decent run home to the finals.
They play relatively low placed sides. Their AFL partner won't play finals, and hits hard to gauge whether the Bulldogs poor form this season will have some negative (or positive) effect.
I look forward to see which players qualify for the VFL finals series, as even with a limit of 12 players, the AFL lists will still have a big bearing on the outcome.
I think Box Hill will make it. We still play Springvale, Frankston, the Bullants and Willi at home in our final game. That last match could decide 8th place.
The Bullants must beat Box Hill and win at least 2 out of the 3 remaining games. Coburg away is winnable and the last 2 are at Preston against Nth Ballarat and Sandringham. Both home games are tough but Nth Ballarat are starting to look a little shaky.
I think 1 side will get in with 8 wins.
Just looking at Coburg's run home they could lose 4 games and currently have 7 wins so maybe 2 teams could get in with 8 wins.
It's hard to predict whose going to win games in 3 weeks time as the comp is very even all the way to the bottom.
Beware the Mustang.........................................................