Season 2024 - Smithy's VFL

Blue Bet Premiership odds

This is a huge milestone day for Frankston FC - to come from being bankrupt and having their VFL licence cancelled in Sept 2016, to becoming a successful, professionally run club, and playing in a final 8 years later.  Massive effort from all involved with the club to pull this off, but we should be especially grateful to Peter Geddes, Gary Buckenara and Mick O'Neil for their amazing work when it looked dire for the club, and setting this club up for a successful future.

Dolphs will go in huge underdogs on Saturday but who knows, they have improved so much during the year, hopefully theres a little more left in the tank to get over the Suns.

Win, lose or draw its been a very successful year for Frankston.

Probably one of the biggest days in the club's history. A win today means we're in. If GWS lose then we'll be locked in by half-time. And if certain results go our way in the next two rounds, there's even a chance of a home final. 

Justin Davies plays his first game of the year today. I'm keen to see how he's developed with a full year of local footy under his belt. With Gown out injured, I think his performance is going to be vital. 

Also a quick shoutout to our Division 3 women's team winning the flag yesterday. It was a special day for the club to not only win a premiership on our home deck, but to also have the VFL boys in attendance and forming a cheer squad with the Div 1 girls. It was a great unifying moment. Now just have to hope the men's team gets up to close out the weekend.

Play about to get underway at Tramway Oval

All AFL emergencies are playing for both teams 

I wasn't able to make the trip down tonight, but once again it looked a very strong (and loud) Dolphins crowd. Frankston have made night footy their own in recent years and it's great to see it being so strongly supported. 

I thought that the result would go Frankston's way, and the margin felt about right.

It was a shame that Anastasio didn't get to celebrate his 150th game with a win. Congratulations Red on an outstanding VFA/VFL career.

I hope the Dolphins get to play a home final. The place would go off I reckon. 

I only got to tune in hear and there tonight, so I'll have to watch the game during the week to make an assessment on where Port lost the game, and where Frankston won. 

Billy Gowers looks to have given himself a great chance of winning the Frosty Miller if he slotted 7 goals tonight. 

Frankston v Port Melbourne

It's all to play for with three rounds to go.....every game is worth gold to win, and potential disaster for some with a loss (see Sandy yesterday). Here's what I reckon might happen from here.....

Werribee 1st – 56 points, 145.8%

Southport (home) Win, Bye, Box Hill (away) Win

Likely finish – 64 points, 146% - 1st

The Bees have two tough games to finish, but would still be favoured to win both. Even if they lost both are still finishing top of the table.

Geelong 2nd – 46 points, 128.2%

Bye, Carlton (home) Win, Sandringham (away) Win

Likely finish – 54 points, 129% - 4th

The bye has come at the wrong time for the Cats. With a tough finish at Sandy, they need a big win against Carlton to shore up a spot in the top four.

Footscray 3rd – 46 points, 120.2%

Casey Demons (home) Win, Frankston (away) Win, Sydney (away) Win

Likely finish – 58 points, 122% - 2nd

The Dogs have been a bit inconsistent of late, but should win at least two of their three. Three will be required to finish 2nd. The Swans game in the final round could be telling, but it’s likely Sydney are out of the finals equation by then.

Brisbane 4th – 44 points, 117.8%

Carlton (away) Win, GWS Giants (home) Win, Collingwood (away) Win

Likely finish – 56 points, 120% - 3rd

Only have to win one to finish top 4, and while they have looked a bit vulnerable of late, they should win at least two. 

Box Hill 5th – 44 points, 117.5%

GWS Giants (away) Loss, Bye, Werribee (home) Loss

Likely finish – 44 points, 115% - 8th

The Hawks have it rough with a bye in the middle of two very tough games. They’d do well to win at GWS, and their current form doesn’t give them much hope against Werribee even at home.

Southport 6th – 40 points, 121%

Werribee (away) Loss, Bye, North Melbourne (home) Win

Likely finish – 48 points, 120% - 5th

Hard to see the Sharks winning at Chirnside Park, but should be too good for North at home. Another team not helped by the bye in the middle. 

Williamstown 7th – 40 points, 101.9%

North Melbourne (home) Win, Bye, GWS Giants (home) Win

Likely finish – 48 points, 103% - 7th

The Gulls will likely find themselves in the wildcard games despite likely wins in the last two games. Both games are likely wins, but not gimmes – two losses would be a debacle, likely putting them in an away game for the wildcard, or even missing out altogether.

Gold Coast 8th – 36 points, 113.9%

Coburg (home) Win, Essendon (away) Win, Casey Demons (away) Win

Likely finish – 48 points, 115% - 6th

Gold Coast have found their mojo in the second half of the season and will likely continue that with three lower ranked sides. Should get a home wildcard game.

Richmond 9th – 36 points, 109.1%

Bye, Sandringham (home) Win, Carlton (away) Win

Likely finish – 44 points, 111% - 9th

The Tigers would likely win both their remaining games but will struggle to move up the table at all. A loss to Sandringham would put their finals spot in some jeopardy.

Frankston 10th – 36 points, 98.1%

Port Melbourne (home) Win, Footscray (home) Loss, Bye

Likely finish – 40 points, 97% - 10th

A win this week against Port likely sees the Dolphins into the wildcard game. An upset against Footscray as well could see them with a home game if Willy or the Suns slip up. Lose to Port though, and suddenly the Dogs is an elimination final.

GWS Giants 11th – 32 points, 94.8%

Box Hill (home) Win, Brisbane (away) Loss, Williamstown (away) Loss

Likely finish – 36 points, 92% - 11th

The Giants have the toughest run home of the contenders but are in decent form. Three wins could see them comfortably in, with even a home wildcard game a possibility…..but two losses would see them miss altogether.

Sandringham 12th – 30 points, 103.2%

Bye, Richmond (away) Loss, Geelong (home) Loss

Likely finish – 30 points, 100% - 13th

With a bye this week, they are going to need a lot to go their way. Would need two wins against higher ranked teams and then rely on Frankston and GWS slipping up.

Sydney 13th – 30 points, 103.1%

Bye, Collingwood (home) Win, Footscray (home) Loss

Likely finish – 34 points, 103% - 12th

In the same boat as Sandy, though should beat the Pies comfortably. Even if they can knock over the Dogs they will need teams above them to cave in. 

 

Port Melbourne v Werribee